Kronos: A Foundation Model for the Language of Financial Markets

Authors

  • Yu Shi Institute for Interdisciplinary Information Sciences, Tsinghua University
  • Zongliang Fu Department of Automation, Tsinghua University
  • Shuo Chen Institute for Interdisciplinary Information Sciences, Tsinghua University
  • Bohan Zhao Institute for Interdisciplinary Information Sciences, Tsinghua University
  • Wei Xu Institute for Interdisciplinary Information Sciences, Tsinghua University
  • Changshui Zhang Department of Automation, Tsinghua University
  • Jian Li Institute for Interdisciplinary Information Sciences, Tsinghua University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1609/aaai.v40i30.39730

Abstract

The success of large-scale pre-training paradigm, exemplified by Large Language Models (LLMs), has inspired the development of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs). However, their application to financial candlestick (K-line) data remains limited, often underperforming non-pre-trained architectures. Moreover, existing TSFMs often overlook crucial downstream tasks such as volatility prediction and synthetic data generation. To address these limitations, we propose Kronos, a unified, scalable pre-training framework tailored to financial K-line modeling. Kronos introduces a specialized tokenizer that discretizes continuous market information into token sequences, preserving both price dynamics and trade activity patterns. We pre-train Kronos using an autoregressive objective on a massive, multi-market corpus of over 12 billion K-line records from 45 global exchanges, enabling it to learn nuanced temporal and cross-asset representations. Kronos excels in a zero-shot setting across a diverse set of financial tasks. On benchmark datasets, Kronos boosts price series forecasting RankIC by 93% over the leading TSFM and 87% over the best non-pre-trained baseline. It also achieves a 9% lower MAE in volatility forecasting and a 22% improvement in generative fidelity for synthetic K-line sequences. These results establish Kronos as a robust, versatile foundation model for end-to-end financial time series analysis.

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Published

2026-03-14

How to Cite

Shi, Y., Fu, Z., Chen, S., Zhao, B., Xu, W., Zhang, C., & Li, J. (2026). Kronos: A Foundation Model for the Language of Financial Markets. Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 40(30), 25366–25373. https://doi.org/10.1609/aaai.v40i30.39730

Issue

Section

AAAI Technical Track on Machine Learning VII