Meta Learning for Causal Direction

Authors

  • Jean-François Ton University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
  • Dino Sejdinovic University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
  • Kenji Fukumizu The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, Japan

Keywords:

Causal Learning, Transfer/Adaptation/Multi-task/Meta/Automated Learning, Kernel Methods

Abstract

The inaccessibility of controlled randomized trials due to inherent constraints in many fields of science has been a fundamental issue in causal inference. In this paper, we focus on distinguishing the cause from effect in the bivariate setting under limited observational data. Based on recent developments in meta learning as well as in causal inference, we introduce a novel generative model that allows distinguishing cause and effect in the small data setting. Using a learnt task variable that contains distributional information of each dataset, we propose an end-to-end algorithm that makes use of similar training datasets at test time. We demonstrate our method on various synthetic as well as real-world data and show that it is able to maintain high accuracy in detecting directions across varying dataset sizes.

Downloads

Published

2021-05-18

How to Cite

Ton, J.-F., Sejdinovic, D., & Fukumizu, K. (2021). Meta Learning for Causal Direction. Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 35(11), 9897-9905. Retrieved from https://ojs.aaai.org/index.php/AAAI/article/view/17189

Issue

Section

AAAI Technical Track on Machine Learning IV